The Prognosis for Democratic Change in China

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Essay #: 058545
Total text length is 15,948 characters (approximately 11.0 pages).

Excerpts from the Paper

The beginning:
The Prognosis for Democratic Change in China
Introduction
Bruce Gilley, in his prognosis of democratic change in China, is optimistic in his analysis. Gilley argues that the “laws of social science grind away in China as they do elsewhere, whether people like it or not” and that in the years since the crushing of the Tiananmen Movement in 1989 the “balance has shifted decisively against the regime’s ability to survive” (Gilley 2004, xi-xiii). This paper will critically examine Gilley’s prediction, with reference to scholarly works on both China and the processes of democratization in China’s neighbours, Korea and Japan. The thesis will be argued that given how economic development occurred in disconnection from democratic change in both...
The end:
..... that Gilley’s thesis with respect to the future of democratic change in China will come to pass in the immediate future. Bibliography
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