FREE ESSAY ON MODERN CHANGES IN INTERNATIONAL EQUITY MARKETS |
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MODERN CHANGES IN INTERNATIONAL EQUITY MARKETSFew things, you might think, are as enduring as a national stock exchange. From pillared entrance to pulsating floor, they display an institutional solidarity that can surely defy forces for change. And yet most of the world's bourses are now in turmoil, as they scrabble to be seen making alliances or mergers, to fend off electronic competitors, or simply to survive. Even New York, the biggest of the lot, is worried: while London, the biggest in Europe, seems to lurch from one misstep to another. (The Economist, 17th June 2000). These missteps have come about from a number of structural changes that have, and are still occurring within national, and global economic environments. A major change is with mergers of many equity and derivative markets, Switzerland 1993, Germany 1994, Netherlands, Finland, France and Austria in 1997. (Bank Of England, 1999). This and other changes such as cross member ship agreements and new parallel links between exchanges, have, and still are creating and manipulating the international markets. The essay will then explain why these changes have occurred, looking in depth at technology advances, technology and scale of economies, technology and competition, cross border investment, globalisation and new role taken by finical intermediaries, providing specific examples of these changes seen with current examples. The essay will conclude with a brief summary of what the larger markets are doing to combat this changes. There have been two major structural changes in markets over the past decades. The first of which is the mergers between equity and derivative exchanges within countries and secondly the new types of links, created by technological advances between exchanges. Firstly mergers between equity and derivative markets like the aforementioned Swiss, German, French, Netherlands, Finnish and Austrian markets. It also should be noted other links now exist, or soon will, like the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Hong Kong Futures Exchange, and between the Australian Stock Exchange and the Sydney Futures Exchange. Also there are new platforms being formed, especially within Europe, which provide a parallel link between exchanges that list similar products. This is seen with Sweden's OM/OMLx and Norway's Oslo Stock exchange developed a shared trading-platform for equity derivative products in Feb 1997, and EUROEX was formed in September 1998, a common trading-platform for German DTB and Swiss SOFFEX. (Bank Of England, 1999). Exchanges such as Brussels, Luxemburg and Amsterdam stock exchanges, all have cross-membership agreements, where under these agreements exchange members have access to products from each of the other exchanges respectively. The Europe's biggest exchange, the London Stock Exchange (LSE), and the German Deutsche Borse have recently announced a merger in a number of steps are able to electronically access both trading-platforms. (The Economist, 2000) There is also a tie between the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and LSE. The tie is not in a traditional sense, but Clementi (2001) has shown that the UK and the US both have large Cross-border investment, with the UK holding $110billion or 8% of UK GDP in us markets. Clementi (2001) suggests that these unofficial ties, make the UK dependant on the US economy, an therefore making it vulnerably to any economic downturn, as seen at the moment with the speculate US recession. (Bank Of England, 2001:131). The third major change that has been seen is that of exchange ownership is being separated from the members. This has been done in Amsterdam, Stockholm, Milan and Australia, to name just a few. Yet the worlds largest stock exchanges are all still owned by it's members, and the largest of these, the NYSE, is still run in the traditional floor trading style, while most other world markets are completely automated. There are many pro's and con's of a floor trading system, but with nearly every market, and all newly established markets being fully automated, there is becoming less and less support for the traditional exchange floors. Technological advances have enabled many if not all parts of the trading process to be completely automated. In 1996, the Australian Treasurer announced an inquiry into the Australian finical system. This report is the Wallis report, it was able to conclude, among many other things that "Technology development and innovation continues to facilitate easy access to the full range of financial products (which) will continue to stimulate growth in new and more sophisticated financial products, and will enable non-traditional providers of such products to access the financial system. Technology will continue to provide more efficient and cost-effective information and product delivery systems." (Viney, 2000:pp64). This efficient and cost-effective information delivery is now nearly universal in use, with the LSE in 1986, enabled trading with telephone quotes, then moved to an electronic and largely dematerliased share-settlement in CREST in 1996, and to the electronic order book SETS for its largest 100 plus stocks in 1997. The Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) introduced SEATS in 1987, which was a supplement for floor trading, which was abolished between 1987 to 1990. In 1989 FAST was introduced, and in 1994 CHESS was put in place as the ASX clearing house Many other international links have been in placed by the ASX, like the alliance with NASDAQ (1999) and the Perpetual Registrars (2000), which have all been put in place to try to keep the market efficient and competitive as possible. These automations have 'surprisingly missed' (National Journal, 2000) the NYSE, the worlds biggest stock exchange. "America's supremacy in capital markets is threatened by systems which are not burned by some of our traditions and practices…if they don't reinvent themselves (the exchange) with what technology has brought, they run a severe risk of being out paced by markets in other parts of the world." (National Journal, 2000). Arthur Levitt, chairman of Securities and Exchange Commission, was interviewed on this topic, where he commented that "…there is a significant risk that if existing markets do not adapt, do not change…a substantial outflow of market share to other markets, whether they be electronic, whether they be markets, in other parts of the world, (will happen). (National Journal, 2000). With this new technology that exists to increase the speed and efficiency of trading, it allows exchanges to increase in size and to benefit from potential scale economies. The new technology is able to increase the access to markets that were previously unattainable (compared to floor trading), as it greatly increases ability of access for firms to participate and reduces any need for geographical proximity to an exchange. The internet has created the largest impact upon the exchange market, as unlike the telephone, information can be constantly updated, can simultaneously offer information on bids and offers, which allows the buyers and sellers to make instantaneous transactions. (Viney, 2000). With a market that is able to have such a wealth of information available to any prospective investor, that can also provide instantaneous information of previous offers and bids, therefore increasing the liquidity of any markets that are able to do this successfully. Within the United States, Internet broking is estimated to account for about one Quarter of all retail stock trades. (Bank of England May 1999). This Internet trade, on the most part, is done at a rate less than a brokerage fee (decreasing the need for the large firms), many of who own seats at the prospective exchanges. (Applied Economics, 2000). Economies of scale can also be gained from pooling exchange overheads, such as marketing, in house technology and so on. These have gained a lot of support in linking of exchanges that were otherwise not significant. As in the proposed European central market, with more members joining, it lessens the overhead costs, yet also creates more trading opportunities, thus increasing the liquidity of those particular markets. (Bank of England 1999 & The Economist, 2000) As the links and mergers of markets increases through different technological avenues, the competition between national and international markets also increases. Exchanges are able to offer remote trading platforms, as seen in Manchester, which is a regional exchange of the LSE, and Chicago, which is regional to the NYSE. These regional exchanges are do conduct a significant level of business with Chicago, Boston and the Pacific conducting 4.23%, 1.63% and 1.65% of the trades in the NYSE respectively. The importance of these exchanges is they are able to provide listings for companies that would other wise not meet the strict criteria of the NYSE and among others permits brokers unable to gain a seat on the NYSE to trade without going to the NYSE itself. These remote trading platforms are able to compete for business, which would otherwise be unattainable. Competition has also increased recently with the growth and development of, Over-the-Counter (OTC) markets. The NASDAQ is the largest example of an OTC market, which provides a quote-driven, non-standardised tailored product for the client. The NASDAQ is known for its massive hold over the technological market with Microsoft, Dell, Intel and Cisco to name a few of the markets lager conglomerates. The NASDAQ, with less stringent entry requirements, is able to have more public offerings straight into the market, something that is not possible in the NYSE, and now as the NASDAQ has plans to link to the LSE in the future, there may be no need for companies, once they have reached the NYSE entry requirements, to go to that market place. With this increased competition generated by technological growth it has made the pressure for the larger exchanges to maximise their trading volumes, reduce overhead costs, and therefore achieve economies of scale. (Bank Of England, 1999). For markets to keep these economies of scale, they must continually update their technologies, hence increasing their overall market scope. The mergers and links that have taken place, using these aforementioned technologies are able to reduce costs for the markets, increase their own bargaining power and strengthen their cross-border competitiveness, thus making an option to merge markets or link national or international markets very inciting to the smaller markets. Many of these smaller European markets have already, and will continue to increase their use of this currency in their markets. "(With) the arrival of the Euro…the notion of running separate national stock exchange seems increasingly pointless" (The Economist, 2000). The cross-border investment will increase at an unparalleled level, within Europe, as the Euro will be able to off set any negative exchange movements. This cross-border investment will become even more prevalent with the merger proposed with the LSE, German-Borse and NASDAQ, which will be called NASDAQ-iX. (The Economist, 2000). This proposed new linked market would link these markets, and trade in a similar fashion as the current NASDAQ does, with its quote driven system. All these factors have been influenced by the globalisation of many financial intermediaries. Globalisation is "the process whereby finical markets are interconnected, interdependent and integrated." (Vinney, 2000:pp27). The global consolidations of the major users and, in some cases owners of markets infrastructure, have a very big influence on the market structure. Through the aforementioned technologies, they have been able to provide services such as in-house trading or custody services to their clients, which a decade ago they could not. (Bank of England 1999). They are able to offer low cost trading and settlement mechanisms alternatives that detract from the major markets members. With these new technologies in hand, large intermediates are able to offer cross-border services that a national service would be unable to provide. In recent years, governments have with their policies, and implementation of enquiries (Campbell 1981 and Wallis 1997), have strongly encouraged globalisation. Governments, especially from economically smaller nations, are looking toward globalisation to strengthen their own economy. With international investment made easier with new mergers and links between small markets, as previously mentioned. The missteps that have occurred in recent times have been a result of a number of structural changes that have, and still are occurring within national and international economic markets. This essay was able to discuss two of the major structural changes that have occurred in the markets in recent years, being the merger of markets and new links between markets. Examples were provided of mergers that have taken place, and are expected to happen in the future. Evidence was provided of formal recognised links between markets, and links or associations between markets in the future were also provided. A more informal link between the US markets and the LSE was shown, and how this informal link could hinder the LSE if a US downturn happened. The essay then described in detail the reasons for these changes, which included; technological advances, technology and scale economies, technology and competition, cross border investment and globalisation of financial intermediaries. Specific examples were provided of the effect of technology in the Australian Exchange Market, as well as other markets world wide. These issues that have been discussed by the essay show that the markets of the world, be national or international, are dynamic and changing. With technology ever increasing, markets will continue these trends, and ones that may not yet be seen, and markets that wish not to, or can not adapt, will suffer. Bibliography List of References Anderson, F. (2000). "Market reality check", The Herald Sun, 7th October, p95 Cecchetti, S. G. (1999). "Legal structure, finical structure, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism" Economic Review - Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol 5, July, pp9-28 Chelley-Steely, P. L. (2000). "Interdependence of international equity market volatility", Applied Economics, vol. 7, May, pp. 341-346 Clementi, D. (2001). "Current threats to global financial stability": a European view' Bank of England. Quarterly Bulletin, vol. 41, spring, pp.129-176 Kosterlitz, J. (2000). "Levvitt to markets": Adapt or suffer' National Journal, vol 32, February, pp.531-534 Millner, B. (2000). "NASDAQ north", Barron's, vol. 80, July, pp. 25-29 Rafferty, M., (2000). "Finical Markets in Transition": Globalisation, Investment and Economic Growth', Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 31, First Quarter, pp. 193-197 The Economist. (2000). "Running into trouble", 17th June, pp. 87 The Economist. (2000). "Stock Exchanges": The battle for efficient markets'. 17th June, pp. 80-82 The Economist. (2000). "Tomorrow's Stock markets", 17th June, pp.17-18 Viney, C. (2000) Financial Institutions, Instruments and Markets, Roseville N.S.W., McGraw-Hill Williamson, C., (1999). "Structural Changes in exchange": traded markets', Bank of England. Quarterly Bulletin. Vol. 39, May, pp. 202-208 |
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